I'm Richard Dixon and I have over 20 years of experience in meteorological research, catastrophe model building and model evaluation.
Have you ever been asked any of the these questions by your cat modelling peers, underwriters or C-suite members of your company?
How might we go about building our own view of risk of catastrophe models?
How can we understand why these two models are so different in this territory?
How much do we really know about the sort of events that are in tail of the EP curve?
What sort of data can we use to evaluate this model so we're happy we should use it operationally?
Can we ascertain if the model is deficient in a particular area that might provide the impetus to change our underwriting?
At CatInsight, I aim to bring the skills I have developed in my career to bear in answering these types of questions for your company.
Additionally, I am researching the merits of re-purposing existing climate model output to create new datasets and models to aid understanding of risk both in territories where models already exist and in developing countries that may lack such data.
In the spirit of how I present my work, this website is deliberately "plain vanilla" to deliver straightforward, understandable information.
Where I've Been Working
Climate-KIC & Lighthill Risk
USHU Medium Term Rate evaluation
EUWS internal model evaluation
CBHU model evaluation
EUWS tail event footprint research in hi-res climate models
ModEx blog technical content
USHU flood contributions
Understanding USHU steering
Model evaluation contractor
Internal cat scenario QA