I'm Richard Dixon and I have over 20 years of experience in meteorological research, catastrophe (cat) model building and model evaluation.
Have you ever been asked any of the these questions by your cat modelling peers, underwriters or C-suite members of your company?
How might we go about building our own view of risk of catastrophe models in a changing climate?
How can we understand why these two models are so different in this territory?
Can we ascertain if the model is deficient in a particular area that might provide the impetus to change our underwriting?
How much do we really know about the sort of events that occur every 100 years?
What sort of data can we use to evaluate this model so we're happy we should use it operationally?
At CatInsight, I aim to bring the skills I have developed in my career to bear in answering these types of questions for your company.
Additionally, I am researching the merits of re-purposing existing climate model output to create new datasets and models to aid understanding of risk both in territories where models already exist and in developing countries that may lack such data.
Please Contact me for further information; you can also sign up below for updates to my blog or any new research items.
In the spirit of how I present my work, this website is deliberately "plain vanilla" to deliver straightforward, understandable information.
Lloyd's of London
Judge Business School
External RDS evaluation
Global wind risk for corporates
Investor climate risk presentation
UK wind/rainfall correlation paper
Hurricane model eval: Mozambique
RMS-AIR model change evaluation
USHU Medium Term Rate evaluation
CBHU model evaluation
EUWS risk from climate models
ModEx blog technical content
USHU flood contributions
Understanding USHU steering
Internal EUWS model evaluation